Make more bets, win more of them, and grow faster.

AI is smart, but it has no experience of your business. Veloccy gives it that experience, and puts it into every bet your team makes.

RetentionRET-2 Win-back offer at day 45
LOWaiting for WaitingLucas Oliveira Needs approvalApproved Runningapproved by Lucas Oliveira 22.4% → 24.6%Won · expected 24.0%
Expects
22.4% → 24.0%repeat within 90 days
Undone if
margin per order drops over $0.40
LOWaiting for Lucas Oliveira Approved by Lucas Oliveira. Veloccy is watching it. Reject
MarketingPM-1 Block two placements, keep the budget
AKWaiting for WaitingAdam Keane Needs approvalApproved Runningapproved by Adam Keanedue after a settled week
Expects
2.66 → 2.85return on ad spend
Undone if
it falls below 2.59
AKWaiting for Adam Keane Approved by Adam Keane. Veloccy is watching it. Reject
OperationsOPS-1 A second lunch line
RVWaiting for WaitingRafael Vega Needs approvalApproved Runningapproved by Rafael Vega 12.44% → 3.27%Won · expected at most 8.0%
Expects
12.44% → 8.0%issue rate, at most
Held back
three kitchens, to compare against
RVWaiting for Rafael Vega Approved by Rafael Vega. Veloccy is watching it. Reject
CategoryCAT-1 Stock 678, leave 822 empty
NRWaiting for WaitingNikhil Rao Needs approvalApproved Runningapproved by Nikhil Rao +$23,919Won · expected +$18,885
Expects
+$18,885somewhere from −$33,791 to +$70,092
Undone if
a category trails the ones held back
NRWaiting for Nikhil Rao Approved by Nikhil Rao. Veloccy is watching it. Reject
SupplySUP-1 Next-day on 857 products
NRWaiting for WaitingNikhil Rao Needs approvalApproved Runningapproved by Nikhil Rao −$294kLost · lifted 15.5%, needed 30.3%
Needs
+30.3%lift, to cover the warehouse
Runs on
857 products in one warehouse
NRWaiting for Nikhil Rao Approved by Nikhil Rao. Veloccy is watching it. Reject
app.veloccy.com/simcorp-home/arcs/cat-1
Simcorp HomeArcsBLR-1 second-floor Diwali assortment
AK RM NR
CAT-1

BLR-1 second-floor Diwali assortment

Properties
Readout Learned incremental_contribution RMRyan Mercer opened 29 Sep review 9 Dec
Continues
SUP-1 · BLR-1 next-day pilot payoff
In the Brainwhat this bet read, and what it led toOpen in Brain
What it read
SUP-1Next-day pilot payoff Return rate Fragile products 9 tables
CAT-1 · BLR-1 second-floor Diwali assortmentArc · learned · 8 findings
What it led to
CAT-1Stock 678 products Second-floor Diwali test Gifts leads the next expansion GRO-1Gift badge discount
The result

The second floor paid about $23,919, inside the range Veloccy wrote down before anything shipped.

The next-day badge lifted add-to-cart by 26.9%. The payoff range still crosses zero, so it probably paid and that is not proven yet.

The full answer
Net contributionexpected against measured +$23,919inside the expected range
Expectedwritten 29 Sep
+$18,885−$33,791 to +$70,092
Measuredread 10 Dec
+$23,919−$47,745 to +$94,337

How it got there

8 checks
  1. 01 Found Diwali demand sits in gifts, lighting and decorBefore Diwali last year gifts sold 2.8 times their usual level, lighting 4.1 times and decor 1.7 times.
  2. 02 Found Forecasts from recent sales run hotReplayed, they came in at 46.1% of forecast, and 78.0% of the products they picked sold nothing.
  3. 03 Found Stock 678 products, hold 170 back, and leave 822 slots emptyThose 678 clear break-even at the best estimate. The low end of the range loses money, so this is a measured bet.
  4. 04 Found Add-to-cart can be read by 9 Nov; whether it paid waits for returnsThe test can detect a 10.7% lift. Payoff is read on 9 Dec against a 22.1% break-even lift.
  5. 05 Checked The bet ran the way it was approvedAll 678 products went in on 6 Oct, and none of the 170 held back got the next-day badge.
  6. 06 Found The next-day badge lifted add-to-cart by 26.9%The range is 10.0% to 40.5%, clear of the 13.1% line written down before the test.
  7. 07 Found It paid about $23,919, and the range still crosses zeroGifts made $32,472. Lighting & Festive lost $11,748.
  8. 08 Checked Returns came in lower than for the products held back4.12% of stocked orders were returned, against 6.67%.

Decision

Iterate. Do not make the 678-product assortment permanent. Gifts leads next season, and Lighting & Festive returns only for a festive window, with its own products held back.

RMSigned by Ryan Mercer10 Dec, 10:18

What came out of it

  • Change · AppliedStock 678 measured Diwali products at BLR-1 and keep 170 ranked products as holdout
  • DashboardBLR-1 second-floor Diwali test
  • LearnedGifts leads the next expansion

    Lighting & Festive comes back only for a festive window, with its own products held back.

  • Continued · Change proposedGRO-1 · Next-day Gift badge discount pullback

    Owned by Anna Keller.

01Diwali demand sits in gifts, lighting and decor
02Forecasts from recent sales run hot

03Stock 678 products, hold 170 back, and leave 822 slots empty

Do not fill 1,500 slots before Diwali. Stock 678 products of the kind the first floor proved, with 1,396 opening units, keep 170 like them supplier-fulfilled to compare against, and leave 822 slots empty. The best estimate clears the 22.1% break-even lift, but the low end of the range loses money.

categorystockedheld backopening unitspredicted net
Gifts5391351,087$11,556
Lighting & Festive9825225$5,470
Decor411084$1,859
Total6781701,396$18,885
Warehouse via sql, through 28 Sep. Category effects come from SUP-1.QueryRun now
04Add-to-cart can be read by 9 Nov; whether it paid waits for returns
05The bet ran the way it was approved

06The next-day badge lifted add-to-cart by 26.9%

It worked. The overall lift of 26.9% is above the 13.1% line written down before the test, and even the low end of its range is above zero. Gifts and Lighting & Festive are each positive on their own. Decor points the same way but is not conclusive.

add-to-cart lift, % stocked against held back, by category
categorystocked, before → afterheld backlift
Total4.77% → 6.50%4.86% → 5.22%+26.9%
Decor4.33% → 5.51%4.31% → 4.56%+20.4%
Gifts4.34% → 5.92%4.60% → 4.77%+31.6%
Lighting6.23% → 7.90%6.15% → 6.51%+19.7%
Warehouse via sql, product pages, 6 Oct to 8 Nov against 1 to 28 Sep.QueryRun now

07It paid about $23,919, and the range still crosses zero

The best estimate says the test paid about $23.9k, driven by Gifts. Lighting & Festive lost $11.7k. The range, −$47.7k to +$94.3k, crosses zero, so the payoff is not proven.

categoryunits soldwithout the badgenet payoffrange
Gifts674635.8$32,472−$29,937 to $97,533
Decor150116.8$4,359−$7,953 to $16,454
Lighting & Festive539494.8−$11,748−$42,229 to $13,050
Total1,3631,225.6$23,919−$47,745 to $94,337

CaveatsHandling is a floor, because receipts are not logged. Stock left at the close is charged at what it costs to return.

Warehouse via sql, orders 6 Oct to 8 Nov, returns through 9 Dec.QueryRun now
08Returns came in lower than for the products held back

Stock 678 measured Diwali products at BLR-1 and keep 170 ranked products as holdout

Appliedfbs · done by NRNikhil Raoproposed 29 Sepapproved by NRNikhil Rao, 29 Sep

Work order

wherewhatfromexpected cost
Second floor · GiftsStock 539 products, open with 1,087 units6 Oct$84,733
Second floor · Lighting & FestiveStock 98 products, open with 225 units6 Oct$30,520
Second floor · DecorStock 41 products, open with 84 units6 Oct$8,725
Held backKeep 135 Gifts, 25 Lighting & Festive and 10 Decor products supplier-fulfilled, without the next-day badge, until 8 Nov6 Oct$0

Applied when the data shows it

All 678 stocked products are on hand at BLR-1 with the next-day badge live, and none of the 170 held back has one. Nikhil’s message that it was done is kept separately; the change stayed approved until the warehouse data agreed.

stocked · 678 of 678 liveheld back · 0 of 170 live

Predicted effect

Add-to-cart for stocked against held back rises 13.1% to 18.3% by 8 Nov. Net contribution is +$18,885 (−$33,791 to +$70,092). It worked if add-to-cart is up at least 13.1% and the final net contribution is positive on 9 Dec.

Rollback

Stop replenishing a category if its add-to-cart falls behind the products held back, or its returns run more than 0.5 points above them, two weeks in a row. Remove the badge and return the remaining stock.

Why, exposure, evidence and checks
Add-to-cart lift+26.9%range 10.0% to 40.5%
Net contribution+$23,919expected +$18,885
Stocked products live678 of 678from 6 Oct
Held back with a badge0 of 170none leaked
Add-to-cart, stocked against held back, by day
0.81.01.21.41.61.8 worked, 1.13 held back, 1.0 6 Oct13 Oct20 Oct27 Oct3 Nov change 1 applied
Product allocation
categorystockedheld backopening units
Gifts5391351,087
Lighting & Festive9825225
Decor411084
Total6781701,396
Predicted payoff range
scenariodemand liftnet contribution
lower7.0%−$33,791
point30.5%$18,885
upper58.6%$70,092
Decision thresholds
metricthresholdunit
Add-to-cart worked13.1% lift
Smallest lift the test can see10.7% lift
Demand break-even22.1% lift
Returns and failed deliveries, after 30 days
groupreturnedfailed delivery
stocked4.12%1.83%
held back6.67%3.17%

My Claude already has MCPs and connectors to figure all this out.

Connectors give Claude access. Access is what a new joiner gets on day one.

ClaudeWith connectors
Access
MetaGoogle AdsSnowflakeShopifySheetsSlack
Experience here
None yet
=
New joinerDay one
Access
MetaGoogle AdsSnowflakeShopifySheetsSlack
Experience here
None yet

A new joiner gets every login on day one. Even the most intelligent one will not read your numbers as well as someone with experience of your business.

Veloccy gives AI that experience.

Sam Okaforgrowth analyst
Why is ROAS sitting near 2.5, and should we pull the budget back before the festive build?
AI with access
MetaGoogle AdsSnowflakeShopifySheetsSlack
2.07
Return on ad spend, yesterday
2.02.53.03.5
15 AugYesterday

It fell after the budget went up, so pull the budget back.

AI with experience
MetaGoogle AdsSnowflakeShopifySheetsSlackThe Brain
2.07
Not settled yetReturn on ad spend, yesterday
2.02.53.03.5
usual range
not settled
22 Aug · 03:17
15 AugYesterday
Usual range
3.00 to 3.51 for this account.
22 Aug, 03:17
Placement exclusions were removed. Nobody on the team did it.
Not settled yet
Meta’s purchase counts read about 18% low after one day, and settle by day five.

Part of the drop is not real yet. Most of the rest is a setting Meta changed at 3 a.m. The budget is fine.

On settled days the move is 3.02 to 2.73. @Adam Keane owns the ad account, and decides.

Read how this one went

This is where that experience lives. We call it the Brain.

This one belongs to a home marketplace, and it is live. Scroll, or click anything in it.This one belongs to a home marketplace.

app.veloccy.com/simcorp-home/brain

How Veloccy gets its experience.

Nobody fills the Brain in by hand. It builds up from three things that are already happening in your company.

Metricsusual range
Orders
Sessions
Order value
Returns
Women’s orders
Repeat rate
Add to cart
On-time
Margin
Veloccy#growth · 7:04 AM

Women are 54% of daily users but 38% of orders. I have opened an arc.

01

Veloccy notices.

It checks every number against its usual range, all the time, without being asked. When something moves, it takes it to the person who owns it. It looks for openings as well as problems.

  • The person who knowsasked for the why
  • Slack, WhatsApp and callswhy it changed
  • Your datawhat changed
02

Veloccy keeps up with work that happens outside it.

The data shows what changed. For why, Veloccy reads what the team said in Slack, on WhatsApp and on calls. When the why is not there, it asks the person it knows can answer.

SK
Sneha Kulkarniin the thread

that’s mango season. people who buy mangoes come back every week or two

Mango season1 May to 31 Jul
Every year
Kept on the calendarfromSKSneha Kulkarni
03

People bring their work to Veloccy.

They ask it to analyse, plan, test and build. When someone corrects it, Veloccy keeps the correction and uses it in everyone’s work from then on.

We gave Claude the same warehouse and asked it the same question.

Two months after the second-floor bet, the person who made it came back with a new question.

Nikhil Raoruns supply at Simcorp Home10 Dec
More than half of the second floor is still sitting empty, and wedding season is starting. What should we fill the empty slots with?
ClaudeOpus 5.5, connected to the same warehouse
ClaudeFileEditViewWindowHelpConnected to warehouse
BLR-1 · December stocking

More than half of the second floor is still sitting empty, and wedding season is starting. What should we fill the empty slots with?

Queried the connected warehouse63 queries

Nikhil, short answer: fill it with SKUs that already sell fast, not with wedding stock. I could not find a wedding season in our sales, and the second floor is half empty mainly because the October batch put stock on the wrong SKUs.

What I would put in, in this order

OrderWhatSKUsUnits a month
1Fast movers that are not at BLR-1 yet (non-fragile)1187.4
2Restock the October SKUs that do sell1342.2
3Next tier of non-fragile sellers not at BLR-11492.2
4Fragile dining and decor, as a pilot1195.6

Orders 1 to 3 at a month of cover come to roughly 1,500 to 1,700 units across about 400 SKUs.

Reply…Opus 5.5

A careful list of 844 products, ranked on units sold. It fills slots left empty on purpose, mostly with the kind of product that already lost money here.

Veloccythe same warehouse, and the Brain
Simcorp Home›Arcs›December stocking
OverviewThreadFindingsChanges
NR
Nikhil Rao10 Dec

What should we fill the empty slots with?

Veloccy

Don’t fill it.

Those slots were left empty on purpose.

Stock 678 products, leave 822 slots emptyCAT-1

ChangeNRApproved by Nikhil Rao29 Sep

The products that would go in already lost money here.

Next-day pilot payoffSUP-1

ArcGifts paid. Bedding and kitchen lost.−$294,403

NR
Reply in the thread

Veloccy knows the slots were left empty on purpose, and that bedding and kitchen lost money on the first floor. All of it is in the Brain.

Then we ran both plans forward to the end of February.

Claude’s list went onto the shelves on 14 December. Each week shows what the plan had made or lost by then, after the cost of stocking it.

Claude’s plan−$270,340by 28 Feb
Veloccy’s plan$0822 slots left empty
14 Dec27 Dec10 Jan24 Jan7 Feb28 Feb
  1. 14 DecClaude’s 844 products go onto the shelves−$285,502
  2. 7 FebIts best week−$193,431
  3. 28 Feb4,762 units still on the shelf−$270,340
What the stock brought in+$548,563
What it cost to stock−$818,903
Where it lost the most

Bedding−$87,889Bath−$67,924Kitchen−$44,961

Claude did careful work with what the warehouse could tell it. The decision behind the empty slots and the first floor’s result are in the Brain.

Claude Opus 5.5 with read-only SQL on the same warehouse, one run. A demonstration on a simulated company, not a benchmark. The Claude window is a recreation; the words in it are Claude’s.

Read how Veloccy knew

Veloccy does the work, and comes back to tell you whether it paid.

A bet takes digging, waiting for the one person who would know, and checking afterwards. Veloccy does that work with your team, in Slack, on WhatsApp and in your meetings, so your team makes more bets.

What Veloccy doesWhat Priya does

This is one bet at a fashion store, from 18 August to 4 September. Priya Nair owns growth.

Arcs Women are 54% of daily users but 38% of orders
Opened by VeloccyPNPriya Nair18 Aug · 7:04 AM
Women’s share of daily users54%
Women’s share of orders38%

62% of their product views start from the Shop tab’s category list, which puts the five women’s categories at positions 8 to 12, below the fold on most phones.

Veloccy in #growth7:04 AM

I have opened an arc. @Priya Nair, you own growth, so I will bring it to you.

03

Is it the order of the list, or do women browse differently?

Started from
WomenProduct views, by where they startShop tab · category list

The order. The chance a position is opened falls the same way for everyone as you go down the list. 44% of women who open the list leave without opening any category, against 21% of men.

Share of list openers who open each position · women’s categories at 8 to 12
womenmen
womenmen
warehouse via tools/sqlQueryRun now

Put the women’s categories first in the Shop tab list, for the women cohort only

Proposedstorefront-config19 Aug
Predicted effect

Women’s orders per active user up about 8.6%, roughly 1,200 orders a week.

Limits

Men’s list-to-category and AOV stay within 2%.

Rollback

One list for everyone, in the shipped order, if a limit is outside 2% over any 3 days.

Reviewers

THTomás Herrera, who owns the storefront configHLHannah Lindqvist, women’s merchandising

waits forPNPriya NairRejectApprove

Put the women’s categories first in the Shop tab list, for the women cohort only

ProposedAppliedstorefront-config20 Aug
TH
Tomás Herrera10:14 AMApproved

Per-audience ordering works since 4.10. The nav config is cached for six hours.

HL
Hannah Lindqvist11:02 AMApproved

Fine by me as long as Sneakers stays in the top five for both lists.

waits forPNPriya NairRejectApprove Priya Nairapproved, run all threeApproved · 12:31 PM
What changesthrough storefront-config, the app team’s config service
shop_tab.lists1 list2 lists, by audience
order · womenMen’s Tees, Men’s Shirts, Sneakers …Dresses, Women’s Tops, Skirts, Sneakers …
pinned.top5–Sneakers · shared, highest margin

Applied at 12:40 PM, with Tomás’s and Hannah’s conditions on the change.

Checked every morning21 Aug to 3 Sep · 14 days
List → category among women, by arm and day
ControlA · Women’s firstB · Personal orderC · For-you row
ControlA · Women’s firstB · Personal orderC · For-you row
Limits, day by day
Men’s list → category
+0.2 pts
AOV
−0.4%

If men’s numbers or AOV move more than 2%, Veloccy puts the list back and says so in #growth.

Veloccy came back with the result4 Sep · 7:03 AM
Readout

Women’s categories first won.

Women’s orders per active user
Written down on 19 Augabout +8.6%
What happened+9.2%
  • Men’s numbers held
  • AOV held
  • 31% more women open a category
DecisionWomen’s categories first is now the default for women.Parents show the same pattern with Kids, so Veloccy has opened that question.
Priya Nair in #growth8:12 AM

yes to both. this is great 🙏

Your data and your tools stay where they are. Veloccy connects to what you already run.

See the workspace, screen by screen

Five times experience changed the answer.

Each of these ran on a simulated company where we planted the cause, so we know what the right answer was. In every one, the obvious answer from the data was wrong, or there was no question to ask.

Supply and category01See how it went

The dashboard said next-day delivery was a hit. It was losing money.

Simcorp HomeArcsSUP-1
AI with accessSales, pilot products against the rest
+277.4%
AI with experienceThe real lift from next-day delivery
30.3% to break even
+15.5%
−$294,403is what the 857-product pilot lost.
Operations02See how it went

Everyone blamed the new kitchens. The cause was a lunch menu.

Simcorp KitchensArcsGRO-1
Orders per user−6.2%four weeks running
AI with access Gurgaon kitchens opened

Three new kitchens, still ramping up. Their frequency rose 38.7%.

AI with experience Lunch launch · 7 kitchens

132.6% of the decline sits in these seven.

Performance marketing03See how it went

Return on ad spend fell. Nobody on the team had changed anything.

Meta ad account · change log 03:17 22 Aug · changed by system
Calendar

Placement exclusions removed

Spend on those placements
0% → 21.2%
Share of the real drop
64.7%

AI with accessPull the budget back.

AI with experienceThe budget is fine.

Growth and retention04See how it went

The data said a bigger first order makes a loyal customer. It was mango season.

Simcorp FreshArcsGRO-1
Veloccy

The gap sits in fruits and vegetables, from May to July, and nothing on the calendar explains it. Is this a season, a campaign, or a change in how orders were recorded?

SK
Sneha Kulkarni

that’s mango season. people who buy mangoes come back every week or two

Saved to the Brain Mango season, every year
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Repeat within 60 days

Bigger first orders, against the rest

AI with access+6.6 pts41.5% against 34.9%
AI with experience+0.25 ptswith month and category held the same
Found unasked, in Slack05See how it went

Nobody asked. Veloccy found it, tested the fix, and reported the winner, all in Slack.

AI with accessNothing had dropped, so there was nothing to ask.

AI with experience+9.2% women’s orders per active user, after the test.

Shop tab · category list
  1. 1Men’s Tees
  2. 2Men’s Shirts
  3. 3Sneakers
  4. 4Men’s Jeans
  5. 5Watches
  6. 6Men’s Jackets
  7. 7Accessories
  8. Below the fold on most phones
  9. 8Dresses
  10. 9Women’s Tops
  11. 10Skirts
  12. 11Activewear
  13. 12Women’s Footwear
  14. 13Kids
  15. 14Home
Thread# growth
V
Veloccy APP7:04 AM

Women are 54% of daily users but 38% of orders. The five women’s categories sit at positions 8 to 12 in the Shop tab, below the fold on most phones.

Priya Nair 12:31 PM

approved, run all three

V
Veloccy APP7:03 AM

Women’s categories first won. Women’s orders per active user are up 9.2%, and men’s numbers and AOV held.

🎉 7

Which bet is on your desk this month?

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